NBA Quantitative Predictions

Advanced Machine Learning Model • XGBoost Regressor
Last Updated: Jan 07, 2026 • 15:55 UTC
Total Predictions
55
Model Accuracy
R² 0.247
Avg Prediction Error
±10.2 pts
Training Samples
5,284
Game Predictions
Jan 07, 2026
Away
TOR
115.3
VS
Home
CHA
111.5
Total
229.3
Spread
-0.6
Jan 07, 2026
Away
CHI
111.6
VS
Home
DET
116.2
Total
230.2
Spread
+7.3
Jan 07, 2026
Away
WAS
109.9
VS
Home
PHI
119.9
Total
228.4
Spread
+11.4
Jan 07, 2026
Away
NOP
115.8
VS
Home
ATL
119.4
Total
238.4
Spread
+1.3
Jan 07, 2026
Away
DEN
114.9
VS
Home
BOS
120.7
Total
234.5
Spread
+1.0
Jan 07, 2026
Away
ORL
108.7
VS
Home
BKN
113.7
Total
223.0
Spread
+3.9
Jan 07, 2026
Away
LAC
110.9
VS
Home
NYK
116.9
Total
228.6
Spread
+6.2
Jan 07, 2026
Away
LAL
109.4
VS
Home
SAS
114.6
Total
223.7
Spread
+7.6
Jan 07, 2026
Away
PHX
111.1
VS
Home
MEM
111.0
Total
221.4
Spread
+1.0
Jan 07, 2026
Away
UTA
102.3
VS
Home
OKC
126.5
Total
227.3
Spread
+18.8
Jan 07, 2026
Away
MIL
108.7
VS
Home
GSW
112.5
Total
223.1
Spread
+5.6
Jan 07, 2026
Away
HOU
115.1
VS
Home
POR
111.0
Total
226.1
Spread
-3.0
Jan 08, 2026
Away
IND
113.8
VS
Home
CHA
118.9
Total
229.7
Spread
+3.2
Jan 08, 2026
Away
MIA
114.7
VS
Home
CHI
108.1
Total
223.0
Spread
-9.6
Jan 08, 2026
Away
CLE
111.7
VS
Home
MIN
113.7
Total
223.8
Spread
+1.3
Jan 08, 2026
Away
DAL
115.9
VS
Home
UTA
118.9
Total
230.9
Spread
+9.2
Jan 09, 2026
Away
TOR
113.2
VS
Home
BOS
115.7
Total
226.8
Spread
+0.4
Jan 09, 2026
Away
PHI
112.5
VS
Home
ORL
114.1
Total
223.7
Spread
-2.0
Jan 09, 2026
Away
NOP
114.4
VS
Home
WAS
113.4
Total
230.0
Spread
-4.8
Jan 09, 2026
Away
LAC
115.3
VS
Home
BKN
111.5
Total
223.7
Spread
-2.7
Jan 09, 2026
Away
OKC
113.9
VS
Home
MEM
104.4
Total
224.5
Spread
-12.6
Jan 09, 2026
Away
ATL
114.6
VS
Home
DEN
116.6
Total
227.6
Spread
+0.3
Jan 09, 2026
Away
NYK
110.2
VS
Home
PHX
111.9
Total
225.4
Spread
+3.2
Jan 09, 2026
Away
SAC
103.2
VS
Home
GSW
119.7
Total
218.4
Spread
+24.1
Jan 09, 2026
Away
HOU
112.4
VS
Home
POR
110.5
Total
225.6
Spread
+0.8
Jan 09, 2026
Away
MIL
115.6
VS
Home
LAL
114.6
Total
231.0
Spread
-0.4
Jan 10, 2026
Away
MIN
116.5
VS
Home
CLE
114.9
Total
238.1
Spread
-0.4
Jan 10, 2026
Away
MIA
113.6
VS
Home
IND
104.0
Total
223.9
Spread
-8.6
Jan 10, 2026
Away
LAC
102.5
VS
Home
DET
114.6
Total
217.3
Spread
+12.4
Jan 10, 2026
Away
SAS
110.7
VS
Home
BOS
117.3
Total
230.7
Spread
+8.2
Jan 10, 2026
Away
DAL
110.8
VS
Home
CHI
114.3
Total
226.6
Spread
+1.6
Jan 10, 2026
Away
CHA
128.0
VS
Home
UTA
120.3
Total
239.9
Spread
-6.0
Jan 11, 2026
Away
NOP
114.5
VS
Home
ORL
119.8
Total
235.3
Spread
+2.8
Jan 11, 2026
Away
BKN
113.1
VS
Home
MEM
116.6
Total
234.7
Spread
+2.5
Jan 11, 2026
Away
PHI
113.3
VS
Home
TOR
114.3
Total
223.7
Spread
-2.3
Jan 11, 2026
Away
NYK
113.6
VS
Home
POR
114.0
Total
231.8
Spread
+0.7
Jan 11, 2026
Away
SAS
106.9
VS
Home
MIN
115.8
Total
220.9
Spread
+6.6
Jan 11, 2026
Away
MIA
104.1
VS
Home
OKC
113.9
Total
219.0
Spread
+9.7
Jan 11, 2026
Away
MIL
118.2
VS
Home
DEN
115.2
Total
230.9
Spread
-3.7
Jan 11, 2026
Away
WAS
109.4
VS
Home
PHX
121.5
Total
228.6
Spread
+11.3
Jan 11, 2026
Away
ATL
112.9
VS
Home
GSW
117.6
Total
229.6
Spread
+7.8
Jan 11, 2026
Away
HOU
123.2
VS
Home
SAC
110.2
Total
233.1
Spread
-15.9
Jan 12, 2026
Away
UTA
110.2
VS
Home
CLE
123.2
Total
236.3
Spread
+16.6
Jan 12, 2026
Away
BOS
120.9
VS
Home
IND
109.7
Total
231.3
Spread
-6.4
Jan 12, 2026
Away
PHI
112.9
VS
Home
TOR
114.4
Total
224.9
Spread
+0.1
Jan 12, 2026
Away
BKN
112.7
VS
Home
DAL
114.8
Total
229.7
Spread
+0.6
Jan 12, 2026
Away
LAL
119.2
VS
Home
SAC
109.0
Total
231.2
Spread
-7.3
Jan 12, 2026
Away
CHA
112.0
VS
Home
LAC
116.4
Total
228.4
Spread
+2.4
Jan 13, 2026
Away
PHX
108.7
VS
Home
MIA
114.6
Total
220.6
Spread
+6.4
Jan 13, 2026
Away
CHI
109.9
VS
Home
HOU
119.4
Total
229.8
Spread
+9.3
Jan 13, 2026
Away
MIN
112.9
VS
Home
MIL
110.3
Total
224.7
Spread
-4.1
Jan 13, 2026
Away
DEN
116.3
VS
Home
NOP
115.7
Total
228.3
Spread
-2.1
Jan 13, 2026
Away
SAS
97.1
VS
Home
OKC
118.1
Total
216.5
Spread
+16.1
Jan 13, 2026
Away
ATL
116.5
VS
Home
LAL
118.5
Total
236.7
Spread
+0.1
Jan 13, 2026
Away
POR
105.5
VS
Home
GSW
112.7
Total
219.2
Spread
+8.1
Complete Data Set
Date Matchup Away Team Home Team Predicted Score Total Spread
01/07/2026 TOR @ CHA TOR CHA 115.3 - 111.5 229.3 -0.6
01/07/2026 CHI @ DET CHI DET 111.6 - 116.2 230.2 +7.3
01/07/2026 WAS @ PHI WAS PHI 109.9 - 119.9 228.4 +11.4
01/07/2026 NOP @ ATL NOP ATL 115.8 - 119.4 238.4 +1.3
01/07/2026 DEN @ BOS DEN BOS 114.9 - 120.7 234.5 +1.0
01/07/2026 ORL @ BKN ORL BKN 108.7 - 113.7 223.0 +3.9
01/07/2026 LAC @ NYK LAC NYK 110.9 - 116.9 228.6 +6.2
01/07/2026 LAL @ SAS LAL SAS 109.4 - 114.6 223.7 +7.6
01/07/2026 PHX @ MEM PHX MEM 111.1 - 111.0 221.4 +1.0
01/07/2026 UTA @ OKC UTA OKC 102.3 - 126.5 227.3 +18.8
01/07/2026 MIL @ GSW MIL GSW 108.7 - 112.5 223.1 +5.6
01/07/2026 HOU @ POR HOU POR 115.1 - 111.0 226.1 -3.0
01/08/2026 IND @ CHA IND CHA 113.8 - 118.9 229.7 +3.2
01/08/2026 MIA @ CHI MIA CHI 114.7 - 108.1 223.0 -9.6
01/08/2026 CLE @ MIN CLE MIN 111.7 - 113.7 223.8 +1.3
01/08/2026 DAL @ UTA DAL UTA 115.9 - 118.9 230.9 +9.2
01/09/2026 TOR @ BOS TOR BOS 113.2 - 115.7 226.8 +0.4
01/09/2026 PHI @ ORL PHI ORL 112.5 - 114.1 223.7 -2.0
01/09/2026 NOP @ WAS NOP WAS 114.4 - 113.4 230.0 -4.8
01/09/2026 LAC @ BKN LAC BKN 115.3 - 111.5 223.7 -2.7
01/09/2026 OKC @ MEM OKC MEM 113.9 - 104.4 224.5 -12.6
01/09/2026 ATL @ DEN ATL DEN 114.6 - 116.6 227.6 +0.3
01/09/2026 NYK @ PHX NYK PHX 110.2 - 111.9 225.4 +3.2
01/09/2026 SAC @ GSW SAC GSW 103.2 - 119.7 218.4 +24.1
01/09/2026 HOU @ POR HOU POR 112.4 - 110.5 225.6 +0.8
01/09/2026 MIL @ LAL MIL LAL 115.6 - 114.6 231.0 -0.4
01/10/2026 MIN @ CLE MIN CLE 116.5 - 114.9 238.1 -0.4
01/10/2026 MIA @ IND MIA IND 113.6 - 104.0 223.9 -8.6
01/10/2026 LAC @ DET LAC DET 102.5 - 114.6 217.3 +12.4
01/10/2026 SAS @ BOS SAS BOS 110.7 - 117.3 230.7 +8.2
01/10/2026 DAL @ CHI DAL CHI 110.8 - 114.3 226.6 +1.6
01/10/2026 CHA @ UTA CHA UTA 128.0 - 120.3 239.9 -6.0
01/11/2026 NOP @ ORL NOP ORL 114.5 - 119.8 235.3 +2.8
01/11/2026 BKN @ MEM BKN MEM 113.1 - 116.6 234.7 +2.5
01/11/2026 PHI @ TOR PHI TOR 113.3 - 114.3 223.7 -2.3
01/11/2026 NYK @ POR NYK POR 113.6 - 114.0 231.8 +0.7
01/11/2026 SAS @ MIN SAS MIN 106.9 - 115.8 220.9 +6.6
01/11/2026 MIA @ OKC MIA OKC 104.1 - 113.9 219.0 +9.7
01/11/2026 MIL @ DEN MIL DEN 118.2 - 115.2 230.9 -3.7
01/11/2026 WAS @ PHX WAS PHX 109.4 - 121.5 228.6 +11.3
01/11/2026 ATL @ GSW ATL GSW 112.9 - 117.6 229.6 +7.8
01/11/2026 HOU @ SAC HOU SAC 123.2 - 110.2 233.1 -15.9
01/12/2026 UTA @ CLE UTA CLE 110.2 - 123.2 236.3 +16.6
01/12/2026 BOS @ IND BOS IND 120.9 - 109.7 231.3 -6.4
01/12/2026 PHI @ TOR PHI TOR 112.9 - 114.4 224.9 +0.1
01/12/2026 BKN @ DAL BKN DAL 112.7 - 114.8 229.7 +0.6
01/12/2026 LAL @ SAC LAL SAC 119.2 - 109.0 231.2 -7.3
01/12/2026 CHA @ LAC CHA LAC 112.0 - 116.4 228.4 +2.4
01/13/2026 PHX @ MIA PHX MIA 108.7 - 114.6 220.6 +6.4
01/13/2026 CHI @ HOU CHI HOU 109.9 - 119.4 229.8 +9.3
01/13/2026 MIN @ MIL MIN MIL 112.9 - 110.3 224.7 -4.1
01/13/2026 DEN @ NOP DEN NOP 116.3 - 115.7 228.3 -2.1
01/13/2026 SAS @ OKC SAS OKC 97.1 - 118.1 216.5 +16.1
01/13/2026 ATL @ LAL ATL LAL 116.5 - 118.5 236.7 +0.1
01/13/2026 POR @ GSW POR GSW 105.5 - 112.7 219.2 +8.1