NBA Quantitative Predictions

Advanced Machine Learning Model • XGBoost Regressor
Last Updated: May 03, 2026 • 16:22 UTC
Total Predictions
11
Model Accuracy
R² 0.247
Avg Prediction Error
±10.2 pts
Training Samples
5,284
Game Predictions
May 03, 2026
Away
ORL
107.6
VS
Home
DET
113.8
Total
219.4
Spread
+11.9
May 03, 2026
Away
TOR
114.8
VS
Home
CLE
122.2
Total
235.0
Spread
+5.7
May 04, 2026
Away
PHI
113.2
VS
Home
NYK
118.5
Total
230.2
Spread
+3.0
May 04, 2026
Away
MIN
111.7
VS
Home
SAS
124.6
Total
235.4
Spread
+14.3
May 05, 2026
Away
LAL
103.5
VS
Home
OKC
119.0
Total
216.6
Spread
+17.3
May 06, 2026
Away
PHI
113.4
VS
Home
NYK
118.4
Total
234.8
Spread
+1.8
May 06, 2026
Away
MIN
112.8
VS
Home
SAS
125.4
Total
232.2
Spread
+13.7
May 07, 2026
Away
LAL
105.7
VS
Home
OKC
115.8
Total
217.8
Spread
+19.2
May 08, 2026
Away
NYK
111.0
VS
Home
PHI
111.6
Total
226.9
Spread
-1.5
May 08, 2026
Away
SAS
113.0
VS
Home
MIN
112.5
Total
227.7
Spread
+0.5
May 09, 2026
Away
OKC
113.3
VS
Home
LAL
108.6
Total
223.0
Spread
-3.6
Complete Data Set
Date Matchup Away Team Home Team Predicted Score Total Spread
05/03/2026 ORL @ DET ORL DET 107.6 - 113.8 219.4 +11.9
05/03/2026 TOR @ CLE TOR CLE 114.8 - 122.2 235.0 +5.7
05/04/2026 PHI @ NYK PHI NYK 113.2 - 118.5 230.2 +3.0
05/04/2026 MIN @ SAS MIN SAS 111.7 - 124.6 235.4 +14.3
05/05/2026 LAL @ OKC LAL OKC 103.5 - 119.0 216.6 +17.3
05/06/2026 PHI @ NYK PHI NYK 113.4 - 118.4 234.8 +1.8
05/06/2026 MIN @ SAS MIN SAS 112.8 - 125.4 232.2 +13.7
05/07/2026 LAL @ OKC LAL OKC 105.7 - 115.8 217.8 +19.2
05/08/2026 NYK @ PHI NYK PHI 111.0 - 111.6 226.9 -1.5
05/08/2026 SAS @ MIN SAS MIN 113.0 - 112.5 227.7 +0.5
05/09/2026 OKC @ LAL OKC LAL 113.3 - 108.6 223.0 -3.6